Deciphering Long Range Outlooks

These outlooks are probabalistic maps intended for agricultural purposes. They are frequently presented as evidence of a coming weather pattern that might include or rather exclude a sought after event.

For example if looking for a winter storm you may feel the requirement of a cold long range outlook. A warm one may be misinterpreted as a non-starter for winter weather conversation when in reality a proper thermal environment could exist within the broad high probablilty positive anomaly outlook.

Below are some theoretical examples of how you might achieve a long range temperature mean yet possibly miss the true daily process at hand.

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